Official National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles indicate a high near 76–77°F on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Recent model consensus from NOAA aligns with this range, reflecting typical early-August climatology tempered by the absence of strong offshore winds or heat advection from inland deserts. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–79°F buckets because these outcomes match the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. No significant heat wave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the past week to shift expectations higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 2%
MỚI
$10,390 KL.
MỚI
$10,390 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 2%
MỚI
$10,390 KL.
MỚI
$10,390 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$440 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,485 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$968 KL.
2%
74-75°F
$2,019 KL.
34%
76-77°F
$1,885 KL.
46%
78-79°F
$1,279 KL.
20%
80-81°F
$1,152 KL.
2%
82-83°F
$332 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$396 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles indicate a high near 76–77°F on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Recent model consensus from NOAA aligns with this range, reflecting typical early-August climatology tempered by the absence of strong offshore winds or heat advection from inland deserts. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–79°F buckets because these outcomes match the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. No significant heat wave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the past week to shift expectations higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,390Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles indicate a high near 76–77°F on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Recent model consensus from NOAA aligns with this range, reflecting typical early-August climatology tempered by the absence of strong offshore winds or heat advection from inland deserts. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–79°F buckets because these outcomes match the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. No significant heat wave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the past week to shift expectations higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,390Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles indicate a high near 76–77°F on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Recent model consensus from NOAA aligns with this range, reflecting typical early-August climatology tempered by the absence of strong offshore winds or heat advection from inland deserts. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–79°F buckets because these outcomes match the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. No significant heat wave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the past week to shift expectations higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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