**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
$648 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$249 KL.
4%
70-71°F
$388 KL.
17%
72-73°F
$225 KL.
28%
74-75°F
$234 KL.
25%
76-77°F
$280 KL.
17%
78-79°F
$181 KL.
6%
80-81°F
$186 KL.
3%
82-83°F
$333 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$286 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$319 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,329Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,329Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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