**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 7, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model guidance consistently projected an overnight low in the 26–28°C range under typical summer conditions.** August climatology features average minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by warm, humid maritime air and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as typhoon-induced northerly flows or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. With the date now past, real-time observations aligned closely with this guidance, producing no measurable deviation into adjacent buckets. The 0.1% odds on every other outcome reflect the narrow uncertainty band in official data: temperature records from the Observatory’s urban stations show high consistency, and no anomalous synoptic features (e.g., a late-season cold surge or localized heavy rainfall) materialized to alter the reading. Only an extreme, unforeseen measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, but both are statistically remote given the dense observational network and stable large-scale pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,969 KL.
$57,969 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,969 KL.
$57,969 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 7, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model guidance consistently projected an overnight low in the 26–28°C range under typical summer conditions.** August climatology features average minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by warm, humid maritime air and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as typhoon-induced northerly flows or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. With the date now past, real-time observations aligned closely with this guidance, producing no measurable deviation into adjacent buckets. The 0.1% odds on every other outcome reflect the narrow uncertainty band in official data: temperature records from the Observatory’s urban stations show high consistency, and no anomalous synoptic features (e.g., a late-season cold surge or localized heavy rainfall) materialized to alter the reading. Only an extreme, unforeseen measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, but both are statistically remote given the dense observational network and stable large-scale pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp