Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models highlight a cooldown in Paris driven by moderating Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and potential showers on August 16, positioning overnight lows near 17–19°C as the most probable range. This follows midweek highs exceeding 33°C, with the shift expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping minimums above typical August climatology of 15–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for exactly 19°C and 26% for 18°C or below, aligns with these updates, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from national meteorological agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
19°C 39%
18°C or below 26%
20°C 21%
21°C 9%
MỚI
$12,434 KL.
MỚI
$12,434 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C or below 26%
20°C 21%
21°C 9%
MỚI
$12,434 KL.
MỚI
$12,434 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,995 KL.
26%
19°C
$1,944 KL.
39%
20°C
$389 KL.
21%
21°C
$818 KL.
9%
22°C
$436 KL.
7%
23°C
$2,337 KL.
1%
24°C
$3,184 KL.
<1%
25°C
$233 KL.
<1%
26°C
$233 KL.
<1%
27°C
$633 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$233 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models highlight a cooldown in Paris driven by moderating Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and potential showers on August 16, positioning overnight lows near 17–19°C as the most probable range. This follows midweek highs exceeding 33°C, with the shift expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping minimums above typical August climatology of 15–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for exactly 19°C and 26% for 18°C or below, aligns with these updates, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from national meteorological agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,434Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models highlight a cooldown in Paris driven by moderating Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and potential showers on August 16, positioning overnight lows near 17–19°C as the most probable range. This follows midweek highs exceeding 33°C, with the shift expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping minimums above typical August climatology of 15–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for exactly 19°C and 26% for 18°C or below, aligns with these updates, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from national meteorological agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,434Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models highlight a cooldown in Paris driven by moderating Atlantic airflow, increased cloud cover, and potential showers on August 16, positioning overnight lows near 17–19°C as the most probable range. This follows midweek highs exceeding 33°C, with the shift expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping minimums above typical August climatology of 15–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for exactly 19°C and 26% for 18°C or below, aligns with these updates, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from national meteorological agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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