Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance, position Jeddah’s August 16 maximum near 40–41°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies typical of Red Sea coastal climatology. Historical August baselines show daily highs averaging 38–42°C with frequent exceedances of 40°C amid high humidity and negligible rainfall. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align with this seasonal pattern, supporting trader pricing of the 41°C-or-higher outcome at 60.5% implied probability while leaving room for downward revisions if late-model guidance introduces increased marine layer moisture or stronger winds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
41°C or higher 61%
40°C 22%
39°C 9%
38°C 6%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
9%
40°C
22%
41°C or higher
61%
41°C or higher 61%
40°C 22%
39°C 9%
38°C 6%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
9%
40°C
22%
41°C or higher
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance, position Jeddah’s August 16 maximum near 40–41°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies typical of Red Sea coastal climatology. Historical August baselines show daily highs averaging 38–42°C with frequent exceedances of 40°C amid high humidity and negligible rainfall. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align with this seasonal pattern, supporting trader pricing of the 41°C-or-higher outcome at 60.5% implied probability while leaving room for downward revisions if late-model guidance introduces increased marine layer moisture or stronger winds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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