Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moist Pacific airflow moderating daytime highs on August 15 below the mid-August climatological average near 31°C. These conditions, already observed on recent days with similar suppression of peaks, favor trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiation between these brackets hinges on subtle variations in convective timing, cloud optical thickness limiting solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds that could allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Updated ensemble runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
MỚI
$18,332 KL.
MỚI
$18,332 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
MỚI
$18,332 KL.
MỚI
$18,332 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$603 KL.
<1%
26°C
$993 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,387 KL.
3%
28°C
$1,881 KL.
10%
29°C
$2,838 KL.
34%
30°C
$2,088 KL.
34%
31°C
$3,489 KL.
18%
32°C
$1,432 KL.
4%
33°C
$681 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,195 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$744 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moist Pacific airflow moderating daytime highs on August 15 below the mid-August climatological average near 31°C. These conditions, already observed on recent days with similar suppression of peaks, favor trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiation between these brackets hinges on subtle variations in convective timing, cloud optical thickness limiting solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds that could allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Updated ensemble runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,332Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moist Pacific airflow moderating daytime highs on August 15 below the mid-August climatological average near 31°C. These conditions, already observed on recent days with similar suppression of peaks, favor trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiation between these brackets hinges on subtle variations in convective timing, cloud optical thickness limiting solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds that could allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Updated ensemble runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18,332Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moist Pacific airflow moderating daytime highs on August 15 below the mid-August climatological average near 31°C. These conditions, already observed on recent days with similar suppression of peaks, favor trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiation between these brackets hinges on subtle variations in convective timing, cloud optical thickness limiting solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds that could allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Updated ensemble runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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