Trader consensus on the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 13 high reflects the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow, which have kept coastal temperatures suppressed despite warmer inland conditions. National Weather Service forecasts and recent model guidance indicate partly cloudy skies with highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 60s as sea breezes strengthen midday, limiting solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology near 70°F but tempered by current coastal flood advisories and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce the chance of significant warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will be key inputs as traders assess any late-day clearing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 14%
64-65°F 13%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 14%
64-65°F 13%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 13 high reflects the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow, which have kept coastal temperatures suppressed despite warmer inland conditions. National Weather Service forecasts and recent model guidance indicate partly cloudy skies with highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 60s as sea breezes strengthen midday, limiting solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology near 70°F but tempered by current coastal flood advisories and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce the chance of significant warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will be key inputs as traders assess any late-day clearing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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