Singapore's National Environment Agency forecasts drier southwest monsoon conditions for the first half of August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–34°C on most days due to reduced cloud cover, lower rainfall, and enhanced solar heating. This outlook aligns with prevailing atmospheric patterns that limit convective cooling and allow greater surface warming in the tropical environment. Recent observations, including highs near 32°C in early August, combined with the persistent warm, humid baseline typical of the season, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (57%) and 33°C (38.5%). Short-term forecast refinements and any late shifts in monsoon strength remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 12?
32°C 57%
33°C 38%
31°C 5%
34°C 2%
MỚI
$12,010 KL.
MỚI
$12,010 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
57%
33°C
38%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
33°C 38%
31°C 5%
34°C 2%
MỚI
$12,010 KL.
MỚI
$12,010 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
$374 KL.
<1%
28°C
$959 KL.
<1%
29°C
$419 KL.
<1%
30°C
$866 KL.
1%
31°C
$1,304 KL.
5%
32°C
$2,901 KL.
57%
33°C
$2,114 KL.
38%
34°C
$1,247 KL.
2%
35°C
$904 KL.
<1%
36°C
$497 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$425 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's National Environment Agency forecasts drier southwest monsoon conditions for the first half of August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–34°C on most days due to reduced cloud cover, lower rainfall, and enhanced solar heating. This outlook aligns with prevailing atmospheric patterns that limit convective cooling and allow greater surface warming in the tropical environment. Recent observations, including highs near 32°C in early August, combined with the persistent warm, humid baseline typical of the season, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (57%) and 33°C (38.5%). Short-term forecast refinements and any late shifts in monsoon strength remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,010Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's National Environment Agency forecasts drier southwest monsoon conditions for the first half of August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–34°C on most days due to reduced cloud cover, lower rainfall, and enhanced solar heating. This outlook aligns with prevailing atmospheric patterns that limit convective cooling and allow greater surface warming in the tropical environment. Recent observations, including highs near 32°C in early August, combined with the persistent warm, humid baseline typical of the season, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (57%) and 33°C (38.5%). Short-term forecast refinements and any late shifts in monsoon strength remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,010Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency forecasts drier southwest monsoon conditions for the first half of August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–34°C on most days due to reduced cloud cover, lower rainfall, and enhanced solar heating. This outlook aligns with prevailing atmospheric patterns that limit convective cooling and allow greater surface warming in the tropical environment. Recent observations, including highs near 32°C in early August, combined with the persistent warm, humid baseline typical of the season, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (57%) and 33°C (38.5%). Short-term forecast refinements and any late shifts in monsoon strength remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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