Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–36°C on August 11 amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and typical summer humidity. Cloud cover and possible showers, which limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, appear central to the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Recent daily maxima near 34°C and ENSO-influenced warmth support the leading probabilities, while steering patterns and short-term model runs introduce enough variability to keep 35°C only narrowly ahead. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 31°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$97 KL.
<1%
31°C
$44 KL.
1%
32°C
$247 KL.
1%
33°C
$59 KL.
11%
34°C
$458 KL.
30%
35°C
$151 KL.
35%
36°C
$80 KL.
20%
37°C
$666 KL.
8%
38°C
$1,233 KL.
2%
39°C
$27 KL.
1%
40°C or higher
$42 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–36°C on August 11 amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and typical summer humidity. Cloud cover and possible showers, which limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, appear central to the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Recent daily maxima near 34°C and ENSO-influenced warmth support the leading probabilities, while steering patterns and short-term model runs introduce enough variability to keep 35°C only narrowly ahead. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–36°C on August 11 amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and typical summer humidity. Cloud cover and possible showers, which limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, appear central to the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Recent daily maxima near 34°C and ENSO-influenced warmth support the leading probabilities, while steering patterns and short-term model runs introduce enough variability to keep 35°C only narrowly ahead. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–36°C on August 11 amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and typical summer humidity. Cloud cover and possible showers, which limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, appear central to the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Recent daily maxima near 34°C and ENSO-influenced warmth support the leading probabilities, while steering patterns and short-term model runs introduce enough variability to keep 35°C only narrowly ahead. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 31°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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