Recent Met Office guidance points to a peak of 31–32°C in London on August 9 amid a warm late-summer pattern, with light winds, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders have priced the narrow 30–32°C cluster highest because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise arrival of any weak Atlantic front and local urban heat-island effects, while the broader summer context of repeated heat episodes keeps lower outcomes (28°C or below) discounted. Resolution hinges on the official Heathrow or London Weather Centre reading, so updates from the next model runs or observed trends in dew-point and insolation will drive repricing before the 48-hour window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 9?
Highest temperature in London on August 9?
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$68 KL.
<1%
27°C
$43 KL.
2%
28°C
$480 KL.
5%
29°C
$419 KL.
11%
30°C
$707 KL.
24%
31°C
$532 KL.
34%
32°C
$370 KL.
21%
33°C
$61 KL.
8%
34°C
$438 KL.
2%
35°C
$84 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$148 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a peak of 31–32°C in London on August 9 amid a warm late-summer pattern, with light winds, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders have priced the narrow 30–32°C cluster highest because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise arrival of any weak Atlantic front and local urban heat-island effects, while the broader summer context of repeated heat episodes keeps lower outcomes (28°C or below) discounted. Resolution hinges on the official Heathrow or London Weather Centre reading, so updates from the next model runs or observed trends in dew-point and insolation will drive repricing before the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,352Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a peak of 31–32°C in London on August 9 amid a warm late-summer pattern, with light winds, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders have priced the narrow 30–32°C cluster highest because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise arrival of any weak Atlantic front and local urban heat-island effects, while the broader summer context of repeated heat episodes keeps lower outcomes (28°C or below) discounted. Resolution hinges on the official Heathrow or London Weather Centre reading, so updates from the next model runs or observed trends in dew-point and insolation will drive repricing before the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,352Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a peak of 31–32°C in London on August 9 amid a warm late-summer pattern, with light winds, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders have priced the narrow 30–32°C cluster highest because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise arrival of any weak Atlantic front and local urban heat-island effects, while the broader summer context of repeated heat episodes keeps lower outcomes (28°C or below) discounted. Resolution hinges on the official Heathrow or London Weather Centre reading, so updates from the next model runs or observed trends in dew-point and insolation will drive repricing before the 48-hour window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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