Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 indicate a minimum near 29°C under prevailing hot, humid summer conditions with light winds and possible showers, consistent with the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends. Typical August climatology features nighttime lows around 26°C, but recent model consensus and observational data show elevated readings driven by urban heat retention and lack of cooling monsoon influences or tropical systems. Trader sentiment aligns with this guidance, pricing 29°C as the clear favorite while assigning modest probability to 28°C or 27°C if localized cloud cover or brief rain enhances radiative cooling overnight. No major forecast revisions or extreme events have shifted the outlook in recent days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
29°C 63%
28°C 16%
30°C 13%
27°C 9%
$15,037 KL.
$15,037 KL.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
63%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 63%
28°C 16%
30°C 13%
27°C 9%
$15,037 KL.
$15,037 KL.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
63%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 indicate a minimum near 29°C under prevailing hot, humid summer conditions with light winds and possible showers, consistent with the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends. Typical August climatology features nighttime lows around 26°C, but recent model consensus and observational data show elevated readings driven by urban heat retention and lack of cooling monsoon influences or tropical systems. Trader sentiment aligns with this guidance, pricing 29°C as the clear favorite while assigning modest probability to 28°C or 27°C if localized cloud cover or brief rain enhances radiative cooling overnight. No major forecast revisions or extreme events have shifted the outlook in recent days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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