Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a partly cloudy August 8 in Tokyo with a daytime high near 33°C under persistent Pacific High influence, consistent with above-normal summer 2026 temperatures. This aligns with the market's 46% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 32–34°C, reflecting climatological August averages of 31–32°C and typical urban heat-island amplification. Scattered showers may modestly limit peak readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
33°C 45%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
45%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 45%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$131 KL.
1%
28°C
$77 KL.
1%
29°C
$24 KL.
1%
30°C
$4 KL.
4%
31°C
$3 KL.
9%
32°C
$34 KL.
22%
33°C
$153 KL.
45%
34°C
$0 KL.
16%
35°C
$434 KL.
7%
36°C
$17 KL.
3%
37°C or higher
$7 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a partly cloudy August 8 in Tokyo with a daytime high near 33°C under persistent Pacific High influence, consistent with above-normal summer 2026 temperatures. This aligns with the market's 46% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 32–34°C, reflecting climatological August averages of 31–32°C and typical urban heat-island amplification. Scattered showers may modestly limit peak readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a partly cloudy August 8 in Tokyo with a daytime high near 33°C under persistent Pacific High influence, consistent with above-normal summer 2026 temperatures. This aligns with the market's 46% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 32–34°C, reflecting climatological August averages of 31–32°C and typical urban heat-island amplification. Scattered showers may modestly limit peak readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a partly cloudy August 8 in Tokyo with a daytime high near 33°C under persistent Pacific High influence, consistent with above-normal summer 2026 temperatures. This aligns with the market's 46% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 32–34°C, reflecting climatological August averages of 31–32°C and typical urban heat-island amplification. Scattered showers may modestly limit peak readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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