Current forecast models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea region favoring clear skies and light winds for Amsterdam on August 8, supporting diurnal heating that typically peaks in the mid-20s Celsius under summer climatology. The market's tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities reflects model consensus on maximum temperatures near these thresholds, with slight differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Maritime moderation from the adjacent sea limits extremes compared to continental interiors, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context for the expected above-normal conditions. Updated European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local observations will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
10%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
10%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea region favoring clear skies and light winds for Amsterdam on August 8, supporting diurnal heating that typically peaks in the mid-20s Celsius under summer climatology. The market's tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities reflects model consensus on maximum temperatures near these thresholds, with slight differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Maritime moderation from the adjacent sea limits extremes compared to continental interiors, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context for the expected above-normal conditions. Updated European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local observations will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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