Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to an overnight low near 77°F in Central Park for August 8, supported by above-average seasonal temperatures across the Northeast and weak high pressure favoring limited radiative cooling. High dew points in the mid-70s, light southerly flow, and urban heat-island effects are expected to moderate overnight drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle frontal passage could shave a degree or two lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August minima around 70°F and the narrow spread between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, with fresh model runs and dew-point observations likely to refine the final range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 8?
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to an overnight low near 77°F in Central Park for August 8, supported by above-average seasonal temperatures across the Northeast and weak high pressure favoring limited radiative cooling. High dew points in the mid-70s, light southerly flow, and urban heat-island effects are expected to moderate overnight drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle frontal passage could shave a degree or two lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August minima around 70°F and the narrow spread between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, with fresh model runs and dew-point observations likely to refine the final range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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