Traders are positioning around the 32–34°C range for Tokyo’s August 7 maximum, with 33°C holding a narrow lead, because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and recent ensemble runs point to a mostly cloudy to partly sunny day with highs near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by possible showers. Seasonal above-normal warmth continues after record 2025 heat and early-August peaks near 35°C, yet model spread on timing of any frontal passage or increased humidity creates genuine uncertainty between consecutive Celsius thresholds. Official JMA updates and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
21%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$544 KL.
<1%
29°C
$188 KL.
2%
30°C
$44 KL.
2%
31°C
$28 KL.
10%
32°C
$86 KL.
21%
33°C
$42 KL.
35%
34°C
$118 KL.
28%
35°C
$189 KL.
8%
36°C
$168 KL.
4%
37°C
$50 KL.
3%
38°C or higher
$46 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around the 32–34°C range for Tokyo’s August 7 maximum, with 33°C holding a narrow lead, because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and recent ensemble runs point to a mostly cloudy to partly sunny day with highs near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by possible showers. Seasonal above-normal warmth continues after record 2025 heat and early-August peaks near 35°C, yet model spread on timing of any frontal passage or increased humidity creates genuine uncertainty between consecutive Celsius thresholds. Official JMA updates and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,495Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around the 32–34°C range for Tokyo’s August 7 maximum, with 33°C holding a narrow lead, because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and recent ensemble runs point to a mostly cloudy to partly sunny day with highs near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by possible showers. Seasonal above-normal warmth continues after record 2025 heat and early-August peaks near 35°C, yet model spread on timing of any frontal passage or increased humidity creates genuine uncertainty between consecutive Celsius thresholds. Official JMA updates and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,495Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning around the 32–34°C range for Tokyo’s August 7 maximum, with 33°C holding a narrow lead, because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and recent ensemble runs point to a mostly cloudy to partly sunny day with highs near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by possible showers. Seasonal above-normal warmth continues after record 2025 heat and early-August peaks near 35°C, yet model spread on timing of any frontal passage or increased humidity creates genuine uncertainty between consecutive Celsius thresholds. Official JMA updates and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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