Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
24°C 17%
21°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
24°C 17%
21°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
$5 KL.
4%
20°C
$23 KL.
3%
21°C
$12 KL.
13%
22°C
$221 KL.
29%
23°C
$15 KL.
40%
24°C
$1 KL.
17%
25°C
$5 KL.
5%
26°C
$14 KL.
2%
27°C
$5 KL.
2%
28°C
$110 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$205 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$617Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$617Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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