Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 9 likely between 31–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible isolated showers, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 32–33°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest humidity limit extreme heating, while timing of any convection or cloud cover introduces spread across ensemble runs. Trader consensus therefore weights the 33°C outcome highest, reflecting both climatological August averages near 30°C and the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance ahead of final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$366 KL.
<1%
28°C
$97 KL.
<1%
29°C
$30 KL.
2%
30°C
$140 KL.
2%
31°C
$215 KL.
11%
32°C
$288 KL.
27%
33°C
$503 KL.
35%
34°C
$767 KL.
19%
35°C
$229 KL.
5%
36°C
$144 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$111 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 9 likely between 31–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible isolated showers, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 32–33°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest humidity limit extreme heating, while timing of any convection or cloud cover introduces spread across ensemble runs. Trader consensus therefore weights the 33°C outcome highest, reflecting both climatological August averages near 30°C and the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance ahead of final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,889Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 9 likely between 31–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible isolated showers, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 32–33°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest humidity limit extreme heating, while timing of any convection or cloud cover introduces spread across ensemble runs. Trader consensus therefore weights the 33°C outcome highest, reflecting both climatological August averages near 30°C and the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance ahead of final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,889Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 9 likely between 31–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible isolated showers, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 32–33°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest humidity limit extreme heating, while timing of any convection or cloud cover introduces spread across ensemble runs. Trader consensus therefore weights the 33°C outcome highest, reflecting both climatological August averages near 30°C and the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance ahead of final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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