Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 77°F in New York City on August 9, with model consensus supporting the tightly matched 36% market probabilities on the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and the urban heat island effect are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of about 70°F. Scattered thunderstorm activity through the evening may further modulate the exact low depending on cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea breeze against climatological baselines, with fresh guidance expected from the next NWS update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
10%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
$28 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$50 KL.
2%
68-69°F
$41 KL.
4%
70-71°F
$6 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
7%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
8%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
20%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
19%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
17%
82-83°F
$51 KL.
10%
84°F or higher
$47 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 77°F in New York City on August 9, with model consensus supporting the tightly matched 36% market probabilities on the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and the urban heat island effect are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of about 70°F. Scattered thunderstorm activity through the evening may further modulate the exact low depending on cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea breeze against climatological baselines, with fresh guidance expected from the next NWS update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$222Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 77°F in New York City on August 9, with model consensus supporting the tightly matched 36% market probabilities on the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and the urban heat island effect are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of about 70°F. Scattered thunderstorm activity through the evening may further modulate the exact low depending on cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea breeze against climatological baselines, with fresh guidance expected from the next NWS update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$222Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 77°F in New York City on August 9, with model consensus supporting the tightly matched 36% market probabilities on the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and the urban heat island effect are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of about 70°F. Scattered thunderstorm activity through the evening may further modulate the exact low depending on cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea breeze against climatological baselines, with fresh guidance expected from the next NWS update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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