Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will it rain on August 10?
Where will it rain on August 10?
Singapore
50%
Jakarta
50%
Mumbai
51%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
51%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
51%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
São Paulo
51%
Sydney
49%
$0.00 KL.
Singapore
50%
Jakarta
50%
Mumbai
51%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
51%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
51%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
São Paulo
51%
Sydney
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Nguồn giải quyết
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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