Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 KL.
$63,036 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 KL.
$63,036 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,900 KL.
No
25°C
$2,057 KL.
No
26°C
$3,010 KL.
No
27°C
$4,597 KL.
No
28°C
$5,464 KL.
No
29°C
$9,514 KL.
No
30°C
$13,430 KL.
Yes
31°C
$13,027 KL.
No
32°C
$6,281 KL.
No
33°C
$2,606 KL.
No
34°C or higher
$1,151 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,036Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$63,036Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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