Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a likely daily maximum of 32–33°C for Wuhan on August 16, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, residual moisture from recent showers, and moderate northerly flow are expected to limit intense daytime heating while allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near climatological norms for mid-August. Model consensus shows limited spread, with light rain possible in some runs that could cap readings at 32°C, while clearer intervals support 33–34°C. Historical data places typical highs near 32°C, and the absence of heat-wave signals or strong subsidence keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
33°C 42%
32°C 26%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 26%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a likely daily maximum of 32–33°C for Wuhan on August 16, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, residual moisture from recent showers, and moderate northerly flow are expected to limit intense daytime heating while allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near climatological norms for mid-August. Model consensus shows limited spread, with light rain possible in some runs that could cap readings at 32°C, while clearer intervals support 33–34°C. Historical data places typical highs near 32°C, and the absence of heat-wave signals or strong subsidence keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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