Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus around a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Hong Kong on August 16, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and weak steering flow that limits rapid change. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the dense Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support the upper end of the range, while any increase in onshore winds or scattered convection could cap the peak at 32°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Observatory briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
33°C 37%
32°C 35%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
37%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 35%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$877 KL.
<1%
28°C
$151 KL.
<1%
29°C
$170 KL.
<1%
30°C
$330 KL.
4%
31°C
$1,336 KL.
11%
32°C
$653 KL.
35%
33°C
$935 KL.
37%
34°C
$409 KL.
12%
35°C
$275 KL.
3%
36°C
$583 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$159 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus around a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Hong Kong on August 16, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and weak steering flow that limits rapid change. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the dense Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support the upper end of the range, while any increase in onshore winds or scattered convection could cap the peak at 32°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Observatory briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,878Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus around a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Hong Kong on August 16, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and weak steering flow that limits rapid change. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the dense Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support the upper end of the range, while any increase in onshore winds or scattered convection could cap the peak at 32°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Observatory briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,878Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus around a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Hong Kong on August 16, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and weak steering flow that limits rapid change. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the dense Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support the upper end of the range, while any increase in onshore winds or scattered convection could cap the peak at 32°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Observatory briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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