Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 10 maximum, with 33°C leading at 44% implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from MetMalaysia and international models that place the day’s high near the upper end of the city’s 32°C August climatological average. Persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover, and below-normal rainfall tied to emerging El Niño conditions favor modest daytime warming without pushing extremes. Recent model runs show tight agreement around these values, with minimal day-to-day variability expected before the August 10 observation window closes. Historical data indicate that readings above 35°C remain uncommon in early August absent strong anomalous heating, keeping tail probabilities low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 10?
33°C 44%
32°C 23%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
44%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 23%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
44%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 10 maximum, with 33°C leading at 44% implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from MetMalaysia and international models that place the day’s high near the upper end of the city’s 32°C August climatological average. Persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover, and below-normal rainfall tied to emerging El Niño conditions favor modest daytime warming without pushing extremes. Recent model runs show tight agreement around these values, with minimal day-to-day variability expected before the August 10 observation window closes. Historical data indicate that readings above 35°C remain uncommon in early August absent strong anomalous heating, keeping tail probabilities low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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