Above-normal summer temperatures forecast for Saudi Arabia in 2026, with the National Center for Meteorology highlighting risks 1–2°C above seasonal averages, form the main driver behind the 40.5% implied probability for 41°C or higher in Jeddah on August 10. Typical August daytime maxima hover near 38°C amid Red Sea humidity and persistent high pressure, yet recent seasonal outlooks increase the chance of brief spikes from enhanced warming patterns. Official models show limited day-to-day variability through the period, keeping 40°C and 39°C as secondary contenders at 28.5% and 19.0%. Updated regional guidance expected in the next 48 hours will further shape trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 10?
41°C or higher 41%
40°C 29%
39°C 19%
38°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
10%
39°C
19%
40°C
29%
41°C or higher
41%
41°C or higher 41%
40°C 29%
39°C 19%
38°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
10%
39°C
19%
40°C
29%
41°C or higher
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Above-normal summer temperatures forecast for Saudi Arabia in 2026, with the National Center for Meteorology highlighting risks 1–2°C above seasonal averages, form the main driver behind the 40.5% implied probability for 41°C or higher in Jeddah on August 10. Typical August daytime maxima hover near 38°C amid Red Sea humidity and persistent high pressure, yet recent seasonal outlooks increase the chance of brief spikes from enhanced warming patterns. Official models show limited day-to-day variability through the period, keeping 40°C and 39°C as secondary contenders at 28.5% and 19.0%. Updated regional guidance expected in the next 48 hours will further shape trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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