Current forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 8, with thundery showers possible that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positioning explains the tight market-implied odds favoring 32°C (49%) over 36°C or higher (42.5%), as subtropical monsoon moisture and the city's basin topography typically moderate extremes while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping most outcomes clustered around historical August averages of 33–35°C, though brief breaks in convection could allow brief spikes if insolation increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against the city's urban heat island effects when assessing resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
32°C 34%
31°C 20%
33°C 20%
34°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 20%
33°C 20%
34°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 8, with thundery showers possible that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positioning explains the tight market-implied odds favoring 32°C (49%) over 36°C or higher (42.5%), as subtropical monsoon moisture and the city's basin topography typically moderate extremes while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping most outcomes clustered around historical August averages of 33–35°C, though brief breaks in convection could allow brief spikes if insolation increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against the city's urban heat island effects when assessing resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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