Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF indicate a high near 37°C in Wuhan on August 8 under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread on peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat retention, while historical August maxima average 32–33°C but frequently reach 36–38°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration, where small shifts in simulated cloud cover or wind could favor 35°C or push toward 38°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 8?
37°C 36%
36°C 25%
35°C 13%
38°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
25%
37°C
36%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 36%
36°C 25%
35°C 13%
38°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$141 KL.
<1%
32°C
$77 KL.
1%
33°C
$15 KL.
2%
34°C
$10 KL.
5%
35°C
$14 KL.
13%
36°C
$0 KL.
25%
37°C
$47 KL.
36%
38°C
$79 KL.
12%
39°C
$12 KL.
3%
40°C
$49 KL.
2%
41°C or higher
$7 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF indicate a high near 37°C in Wuhan on August 8 under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread on peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat retention, while historical August maxima average 32–33°C but frequently reach 36–38°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration, where small shifts in simulated cloud cover or wind could favor 35°C or push toward 38°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$452Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF indicate a high near 37°C in Wuhan on August 8 under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread on peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat retention, while historical August maxima average 32–33°C but frequently reach 36–38°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration, where small shifts in simulated cloud cover or wind could favor 35°C or push toward 38°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$452Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF indicate a high near 37°C in Wuhan on August 8 under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread on peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat retention, while historical August maxima average 32–33°C but frequently reach 36–38°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration, where small shifts in simulated cloud cover or wind could favor 35°C or push toward 38°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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