**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 22–24°C, reflecting Met Office guidance of a 22°C maximum alongside model spreads that allow for modest afternoon warming under partly sunny conditions.** Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate mostly dry weather with sunny spells and lighter winds, producing near-average August temperatures (climatological mean daytime high ~22–23°C). This positions 22°C and 23°C as the consensus brackets, capturing the bulk of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects to push readings to 24°C, which accounts for its secondary share, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability under the stable high-pressure influence. Recent developments include a shift from warmer early-August conditions (e.g., 27°C recorded on August 2) to cooler, more typical late-summer patterns, with showers fading and temperatures settling near seasonal norms. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support the narrow 22–24°C range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 45%
22°C 29%
24°C 19%
21°C 6%
$89,665 KL.
$89,665 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
29%
23°C
45%
24°C
19%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 29%
24°C 19%
21°C 6%
$89,665 KL.
$89,665 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
29%
23°C
45%
24°C
19%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 22–24°C, reflecting Met Office guidance of a 22°C maximum alongside model spreads that allow for modest afternoon warming under partly sunny conditions.** Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate mostly dry weather with sunny spells and lighter winds, producing near-average August temperatures (climatological mean daytime high ~22–23°C). This positions 22°C and 23°C as the consensus brackets, capturing the bulk of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects to push readings to 24°C, which accounts for its secondary share, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability under the stable high-pressure influence. Recent developments include a shift from warmer early-August conditions (e.g., 27°C recorded on August 2) to cooler, more typical late-summer patterns, with showers fading and temperatures settling near seasonal norms. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support the narrow 22–24°C range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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