Recent India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperatures running slightly below normal at 32.9°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from multiple sources converge on a peak near 33–34°C for August 8, reflecting typical August climatology of 31–33°C highs tempered by high humidity and rainfall that suppress extremes. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized rain timing as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping higher values at low implied probability. Updated IMD guidance and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 8?
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
3%
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperatures running slightly below normal at 32.9°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from multiple sources converge on a peak near 33–34°C for August 8, reflecting typical August climatology of 31–33°C highs tempered by high humidity and rainfall that suppress extremes. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized rain timing as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping higher values at low implied probability. Updated IMD guidance and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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