Recent model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles highlight clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, positioning a minimum near 14°C as the mode for Paris on August 8. This follows an early-month heatwave that has given way to more stable high-pressure conditions, allowing temperatures to drop closer to seasonal norms after elevated daytime maxima. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 13–15°C outcomes dominant while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance expected from official agencies within the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 47%
15°C 26%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
29%
14°C
58%
15°C
31%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
11%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
15°C 26%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$54 KL.
<1%
12°C
$81 KL.
2%
13°C
$318 KL.
29%
14°C
$863 KL.
58%
15°C
$398 KL.
31%
16°C
$217 KL.
11%
17°C
$107 KL.
1%
18°C
$298 KL.
11%
19°C
$321 KL.
<1%
20°C
$67 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$77 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles highlight clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, positioning a minimum near 14°C as the mode for Paris on August 8. This follows an early-month heatwave that has given way to more stable high-pressure conditions, allowing temperatures to drop closer to seasonal norms after elevated daytime maxima. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 13–15°C outcomes dominant while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance expected from official agencies within the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,801Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles highlight clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, positioning a minimum near 14°C as the mode for Paris on August 8. This follows an early-month heatwave that has given way to more stable high-pressure conditions, allowing temperatures to drop closer to seasonal norms after elevated daytime maxima. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 13–15°C outcomes dominant while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance expected from official agencies within the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,801Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles highlight clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, positioning a minimum near 14°C as the mode for Paris on August 8. This follows an early-month heatwave that has given way to more stable high-pressure conditions, allowing temperatures to drop closer to seasonal norms after elevated daytime maxima. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 13–15°C outcomes dominant while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance expected from official agencies within the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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