Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
41%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$10 KL.
1%
22°C
$15 KL.
3%
23°C
$40 KL.
5%
24°C
$34 KL.
20%
25°C
$64 KL.
41%
26°C
$7 KL.
28%
27°C
$0 KL.
7%
28°C
$2 KL.
3%
29°C
$21 KL.
2%
30°C
$5 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$203Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$203Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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