Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a typical Mediterranean summer regime for Tel Aviv on August 6, with clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation favoring a daytime maximum near the 31–32°C seasonal norm. Strong insolation under the subtropical high combined with limited heat advection supports modest warming above the long-term August coastal average without triggering extreme heat indices. Current outlooks show no major synoptic shifts or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 32°C while allowing a secondary chance for 33°C if winds remain lighter than projected. Updated model runs and IMS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 68%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
68%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 68%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$787 KL.
<1%
30°C
$383 KL.
1%
31°C
$777 KL.
6%
32°C
$2,812 KL.
68%
33°C
$526 KL.
24%
34°C
$732 KL.
5%
35°C
$784 KL.
1%
36°C
$665 KL.
<1%
37°C
$456 KL.
<1%
38°C
$587 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$361 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a typical Mediterranean summer regime for Tel Aviv on August 6, with clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation favoring a daytime maximum near the 31–32°C seasonal norm. Strong insolation under the subtropical high combined with limited heat advection supports modest warming above the long-term August coastal average without triggering extreme heat indices. Current outlooks show no major synoptic shifts or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 32°C while allowing a secondary chance for 33°C if winds remain lighter than projected. Updated model runs and IMS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,869Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a typical Mediterranean summer regime for Tel Aviv on August 6, with clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation favoring a daytime maximum near the 31–32°C seasonal norm. Strong insolation under the subtropical high combined with limited heat advection supports modest warming above the long-term August coastal average without triggering extreme heat indices. Current outlooks show no major synoptic shifts or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 32°C while allowing a secondary chance for 33°C if winds remain lighter than projected. Updated model runs and IMS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,869Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a typical Mediterranean summer regime for Tel Aviv on August 6, with clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation favoring a daytime maximum near the 31–32°C seasonal norm. Strong insolation under the subtropical high combined with limited heat advection supports modest warming above the long-term August coastal average without triggering extreme heat indices. Current outlooks show no major synoptic shifts or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 32°C while allowing a secondary chance for 33°C if winds remain lighter than projected. Updated model runs and IMS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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