Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow’s August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, reflecting a warm but not extreme southerly flow under partly cloudy skies with early showers. Modest differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any convective cells account for the narrow spread between the market’s leading 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes; greater insolation or delayed rain would favor the higher bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 28 °C. Historical August maxima average roughly 24 °C, so current guidance represents a positive anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the final peak temperature used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 39%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
39%
30°C
34%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$1,177 KL.
<1%
24°C
$605 KL.
<1%
25°C
$626 KL.
1%
26°C
$240 KL.
2%
27°C
$232 KL.
4%
28°C
$352 KL.
15%
29°C
$584 KL.
39%
30°C
$355 KL.
34%
31°C
$791 KL.
11%
32°C
$139 KL.
2%
33°C or higher
$99 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow’s August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, reflecting a warm but not extreme southerly flow under partly cloudy skies with early showers. Modest differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any convective cells account for the narrow spread between the market’s leading 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes; greater insolation or delayed rain would favor the higher bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 28 °C. Historical August maxima average roughly 24 °C, so current guidance represents a positive anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the final peak temperature used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,200Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow’s August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, reflecting a warm but not extreme southerly flow under partly cloudy skies with early showers. Modest differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any convective cells account for the narrow spread between the market’s leading 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes; greater insolation or delayed rain would favor the higher bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 28 °C. Historical August maxima average roughly 24 °C, so current guidance represents a positive anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the final peak temperature used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,200Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow’s August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, reflecting a warm but not extreme southerly flow under partly cloudy skies with early showers. Modest differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any convective cells account for the narrow spread between the market’s leading 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes; greater insolation or delayed rain would favor the higher bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 28 °C. Historical August maxima average roughly 24 °C, so current guidance represents a positive anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the final peak temperature used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp