**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
25%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$397 KL.
<1%
23°C
$439 KL.
<1%
24°C
$172 KL.
<1%
25°C
$58 KL.
<1%
26°C
$106 KL.
5%
27°C
$305 KL.
20%
28°C
$877 KL.
52%
29°C
$327 KL.
25%
30°C
$72 KL.
3%
31°C
$107 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$68 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,800Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,800Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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