Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 43%
16°C 22%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
12°C or below
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
43%
16°C
22%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 22%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
12°C or below
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
43%
16°C
22%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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