Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6, driving the market-implied probabilities of 49.5% for 28°C and 29.5% for 27°C. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in peak summer features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limits overnight cooling, with historical August lows averaging near 25°C but early-month conditions often holding 1–3°C warmer. Light rain expected in current guidance may modestly suppress daytime highs while maintaining elevated nighttime readings around these thresholds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these trader-consensus odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 50%
27°C 30%
29°C 19%
26°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
30%
28°C
50%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 30%
29°C 19%
26°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$11 KL.
<1%
23°C
$16 KL.
<1%
24°C
$57 KL.
1%
25°C
$18 KL.
2%
26°C
$83 KL.
5%
27°C
$380 KL.
30%
28°C
$633 KL.
50%
29°C
$493 KL.
19%
30°C
$57 KL.
1%
31°C
$10 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6, driving the market-implied probabilities of 49.5% for 28°C and 29.5% for 27°C. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in peak summer features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limits overnight cooling, with historical August lows averaging near 25°C but early-month conditions often holding 1–3°C warmer. Light rain expected in current guidance may modestly suppress daytime highs while maintaining elevated nighttime readings around these thresholds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,768Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6, driving the market-implied probabilities of 49.5% for 28°C and 29.5% for 27°C. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in peak summer features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limits overnight cooling, with historical August lows averaging near 25°C but early-month conditions often holding 1–3°C warmer. Light rain expected in current guidance may modestly suppress daytime highs while maintaining elevated nighttime readings around these thresholds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,768Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 6, driving the market-implied probabilities of 49.5% for 28°C and 29.5% for 27°C. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in peak summer features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limits overnight cooling, with historical August lows averaging near 25°C but early-month conditions often holding 1–3°C warmer. Light rain expected in current guidance may modestly suppress daytime highs while maintaining elevated nighttime readings around these thresholds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these trader-consensus odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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