**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 KL.
$13,693 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 KL.
$13,693 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$374 KL.
No
21°C
$688 KL.
No
22°C
$1,244 KL.
No
23°C
$1,216 KL.
No
24°C
$2,374 KL.
Yes
25°C
$2,305 KL.
No
26°C
$3,170 KL.
No
27°C
$959 KL.
No
28°C
$687 KL.
No
29°C
$342 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$334 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,693Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,693Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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