Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
68-69°F 42%
70-71°F 35%
67°F or below 15%
72-73°F 10%
$17,455 KL.
$17,455 KL.
67°F or below
15%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 42%
70-71°F 35%
67°F or below 15%
72-73°F 10%
$17,455 KL.
$17,455 KL.
67°F or below
15%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp