Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies over northern France, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius on August 10. Key variables include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in central Paris stations. With 32°C and 33°C holding the highest implied probabilities, traders are weighing small differences in model runs that could shift the daily peak by 1°C depending on afternoon wind speeds or residual moisture from earlier heatwave conditions. Official observations will come from Météo-France’s Paris-Montsouris or similar reference stations, where even minor forecast adjustments often decide resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
38%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$48 KL.
3%
31°C
$37 KL.
18%
32°C
$45 KL.
38%
33°C
$50 KL.
30%
34°C
$2 KL.
12%
35°C
$56 KL.
3%
36°C
$17 KL.
2%
37°C
$66 KL.
<1%
38°C
$120 KL.
<1%
39°C
$469 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$469 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies over northern France, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius on August 10. Key variables include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in central Paris stations. With 32°C and 33°C holding the highest implied probabilities, traders are weighing small differences in model runs that could shift the daily peak by 1°C depending on afternoon wind speeds or residual moisture from earlier heatwave conditions. Official observations will come from Météo-France’s Paris-Montsouris or similar reference stations, where even minor forecast adjustments often decide resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies over northern France, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius on August 10. Key variables include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in central Paris stations. With 32°C and 33°C holding the highest implied probabilities, traders are weighing small differences in model runs that could shift the daily peak by 1°C depending on afternoon wind speeds or residual moisture from earlier heatwave conditions. Official observations will come from Météo-France’s Paris-Montsouris or similar reference stations, where even minor forecast adjustments often decide resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies over northern France, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius on August 10. Key variables include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in central Paris stations. With 32°C and 33°C holding the highest implied probabilities, traders are weighing small differences in model runs that could shift the daily peak by 1°C depending on afternoon wind speeds or residual moisture from earlier heatwave conditions. Official observations will come from Météo-France’s Paris-Montsouris or similar reference stations, where even minor forecast adjustments often decide resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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