Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from major centers positions Beijing's August 8 maximum near 31–32°C, reflecting the primary driver of trader sentiment through moderate surface heating under partly cloudy skies and weakening subtropical high influence as the season transitions toward autumn. Typical early-August climatology supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, with reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and potential showers limiting further warming compared to peak summer conditions earlier in the month. Model runs show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes due to stabilizing atmospheric patterns and historical analogs indicating a downward temperature trend after early-month peaks. Official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$688 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,064 KL.
<1%
28°C
$67 KL.
1%
29°C
$176 KL.
4%
30°C
$446 KL.
12%
31°C
$127 KL.
26%
32°C
$473 KL.
36%
33°C
$687 KL.
16%
34°C
$295 KL.
4%
35°C
$160 KL.
3%
36°C or higher
$585 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from major centers positions Beijing's August 8 maximum near 31–32°C, reflecting the primary driver of trader sentiment through moderate surface heating under partly cloudy skies and weakening subtropical high influence as the season transitions toward autumn. Typical early-August climatology supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, with reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and potential showers limiting further warming compared to peak summer conditions earlier in the month. Model runs show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes due to stabilizing atmospheric patterns and historical analogs indicating a downward temperature trend after early-month peaks. Official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,769Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from major centers positions Beijing's August 8 maximum near 31–32°C, reflecting the primary driver of trader sentiment through moderate surface heating under partly cloudy skies and weakening subtropical high influence as the season transitions toward autumn. Typical early-August climatology supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, with reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and potential showers limiting further warming compared to peak summer conditions earlier in the month. Model runs show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes due to stabilizing atmospheric patterns and historical analogs indicating a downward temperature trend after early-month peaks. Official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,769Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from major centers positions Beijing's August 8 maximum near 31–32°C, reflecting the primary driver of trader sentiment through moderate surface heating under partly cloudy skies and weakening subtropical high influence as the season transitions toward autumn. Typical early-August climatology supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, with reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and potential showers limiting further warming compared to peak summer conditions earlier in the month. Model runs show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes due to stabilizing atmospheric patterns and historical analogs indicating a downward temperature trend after early-month peaks. Official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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