Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC currently project peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 around 35–36°C amid an ongoing European heatwave with red alerts across Italian cities. This keeps trader-implied odds tightly split between those two outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on exact maxima, local Po Valley heat retention, and potential afternoon convective cooling. Recent observational trends show sustained high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting upper-30s readings, though historical August averages near 30°C and urban heat-island amplification introduce variability in the final recorded high. Updated forecast runs and official monitoring from Italian meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 10?
36°C 37%
35°C 36%
34°C 15%
37°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
15%
35°C
36%
36°C
37%
37°C
14%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 36%
34°C 15%
37°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$24 KL.
<1%
32°C
$32 KL.
1%
33°C
$80 KL.
3%
34°C
$506 KL.
15%
35°C
$16 KL.
36%
36°C
$16 KL.
37%
37°C
$104 KL.
14%
38°C
$5 KL.
3%
39°C
$10 KL.
2%
40°C
$5 KL.
1%
41°C or higher
$115 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC currently project peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 around 35–36°C amid an ongoing European heatwave with red alerts across Italian cities. This keeps trader-implied odds tightly split between those two outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on exact maxima, local Po Valley heat retention, and potential afternoon convective cooling. Recent observational trends show sustained high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting upper-30s readings, though historical August averages near 30°C and urban heat-island amplification introduce variability in the final recorded high. Updated forecast runs and official monitoring from Italian meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$913Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC currently project peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 around 35–36°C amid an ongoing European heatwave with red alerts across Italian cities. This keeps trader-implied odds tightly split between those two outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on exact maxima, local Po Valley heat retention, and potential afternoon convective cooling. Recent observational trends show sustained high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting upper-30s readings, though historical August averages near 30°C and urban heat-island amplification introduce variability in the final recorded high. Updated forecast runs and official monitoring from Italian meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$913Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC currently project peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 around 35–36°C amid an ongoing European heatwave with red alerts across Italian cities. This keeps trader-implied odds tightly split between those two outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on exact maxima, local Po Valley heat retention, and potential afternoon convective cooling. Recent observational trends show sustained high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting upper-30s readings, though historical August averages near 30°C and urban heat-island amplification introduce variability in the final recorded high. Updated forecast runs and official monitoring from Italian meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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