Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35°C for August 8 under mainly fine conditions with west-to-northwest winds, extremely hot daytime temperatures, and isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later. This aligns with August climatology, when the city typically sees peak highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, though recent model guidance shows modest warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 35°C and combined 46% for 34–36°C, incorporates uncertainty in convective activity and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings overnight represent the next key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
35°C 43%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
MỚI
$23,887 KL.
MỚI
$23,887 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
24%
35°C
43%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
MỚI
$23,887 KL.
MỚI
$23,887 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,144 KL.
<1%
32°C
$2,277 KL.
1%
33°C
$3,336 KL.
3%
34°C
$2,369 KL.
24%
35°C
$3,245 KL.
43%
36°C
$2,949 KL.
21%
37°C
$3,957 KL.
8%
38°C
$1,592 KL.
1%
39°C
$1,320 KL.
<1%
40°C
$935 KL.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35°C for August 8 under mainly fine conditions with west-to-northwest winds, extremely hot daytime temperatures, and isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later. This aligns with August climatology, when the city typically sees peak highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, though recent model guidance shows modest warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 35°C and combined 46% for 34–36°C, incorporates uncertainty in convective activity and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings overnight represent the next key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,887Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35°C for August 8 under mainly fine conditions with west-to-northwest winds, extremely hot daytime temperatures, and isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later. This aligns with August climatology, when the city typically sees peak highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, though recent model guidance shows modest warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 35°C and combined 46% for 34–36°C, incorporates uncertainty in convective activity and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings overnight represent the next key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$23,887Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35°C for August 8 under mainly fine conditions with west-to-northwest winds, extremely hot daytime temperatures, and isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later. This aligns with August climatology, when the city typically sees peak highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, though recent model guidance shows modest warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 35°C and combined 46% for 34–36°C, incorporates uncertainty in convective activity and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings overnight represent the next key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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