Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C on August 9, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 84%. Typical August conditions—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity exceeding 80%, and urban heat retention—support mid-30s readings, while scattered cloud cover and isolated showers may cap peaks near 35°C. Recent observations show daily highs reaching 33–35°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, with limited model spread reducing chances of extremes below 34°C or above 37°C. Official verification data from the Observatory’s urban stations will resolve the market shortly after the day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
MỚI
$27,845 KL.
MỚI
$27,845 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
40%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
MỚI
$27,845 KL.
MỚI
$27,845 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$1,347 KL.
<1%
32°C
$3,696 KL.
<1%
33°C
$2,279 KL.
2%
34°C
$2,625 KL.
17%
35°C
$4,961 KL.
40%
36°C
$3,750 KL.
27%
37°C
$2,727 KL.
15%
38°C
$4,930 KL.
3%
39°C
$752 KL.
<1%
40°C
$382 KL.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,016 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C on August 9, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 84%. Typical August conditions—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity exceeding 80%, and urban heat retention—support mid-30s readings, while scattered cloud cover and isolated showers may cap peaks near 35°C. Recent observations show daily highs reaching 33–35°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, with limited model spread reducing chances of extremes below 34°C or above 37°C. Official verification data from the Observatory’s urban stations will resolve the market shortly after the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,845Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C on August 9, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 84%. Typical August conditions—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity exceeding 80%, and urban heat retention—support mid-30s readings, while scattered cloud cover and isolated showers may cap peaks near 35°C. Recent observations show daily highs reaching 33–35°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, with limited model spread reducing chances of extremes below 34°C or above 37°C. Official verification data from the Observatory’s urban stations will resolve the market shortly after the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$27,845Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C on August 9, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 84%. Typical August conditions—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity exceeding 80%, and urban heat retention—support mid-30s readings, while scattered cloud cover and isolated showers may cap peaks near 35°C. Recent observations show daily highs reaching 33–35°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, with limited model spread reducing chances of extremes below 34°C or above 37°C. Official verification data from the Observatory’s urban stations will resolve the market shortly after the day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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