**Current forecasts and seasonal monsoon dynamics position 32–34°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s August 6 maximum.** Above-normal temperatures expected across Sindh this monsoon season are tempered by patchy rain, increased cloud cover, and humidity that limit daytime heating, consistent with AccuWeather’s August range of 29–34°C and recent PMD updates noting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with monsoon moisture frequently capping peaks below seasonal extremes. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early August reinforce trader emphasis on this narrow band, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty around any late clearing or stronger insolation. Updated NHC/PMD guidance ahead of August 6 will refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 6?
33°C 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
45%
34°C
21%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
45%
34°C
21%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and seasonal monsoon dynamics position 32–34°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s August 6 maximum.** Above-normal temperatures expected across Sindh this monsoon season are tempered by patchy rain, increased cloud cover, and humidity that limit daytime heating, consistent with AccuWeather’s August range of 29–34°C and recent PMD updates noting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with monsoon moisture frequently capping peaks below seasonal extremes. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early August reinforce trader emphasis on this narrow band, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty around any late clearing or stronger insolation. Updated NHC/PMD guidance ahead of August 6 will refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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