Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s August 6 maximum, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range models indicate persistent moisture, occasional thunderstorms, and limited solar heating that typically cap daytime peaks near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show maximums running 1–4°C below normal amid active rainfall, reinforcing expectations that further suppression or modest clearing will decide whether the reading settles at 29°C, 30°C, or 31°C. Updated IMD bulletins and satellite-derived cloud analyses expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
30°C 39%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
30°C 39%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s August 6 maximum, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range models indicate persistent moisture, occasional thunderstorms, and limited solar heating that typically cap daytime peaks near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show maximums running 1–4°C below normal amid active rainfall, reinforcing expectations that further suppression or modest clearing will decide whether the reading settles at 29°C, 30°C, or 31°C. Updated IMD bulletins and satellite-derived cloud analyses expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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