Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 6?
78-79°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,309 KL.
$16,309 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,309 KL.
$16,309 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
$496 KL.
No
66-67°F
$441 KL.
No
68-69°F
$735 KL.
No
70-71°F
$2,824 KL.
No
72-73°F
$775 KL.
No
74-75°F
$1,234 KL.
No
76-77°F
$3,834 KL.
No
78-79°F
$4,129 KL.
Yes
80-81°F
$708 KL.
No
82-83°F
$646 KL.
No
84°F or higher
$486 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,309Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,309Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp