Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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