Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 KL.
$123,178 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 KL.
$123,178 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
$398 KL.
No
6°C
$1,128 KL.
No
7°C
$606 KL.
No
8°C
$2,210 KL.
No
9°C
$27,847 KL.
No
10°C
$26,144 KL.
Yes
11°C
$23,659 KL.
No
12°C
$19,103 KL.
No
13°C
$15,178 KL.
No
14°C
$4,335 KL.
No
15°C or higher
$2,572 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$123,178Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$123,178Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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