Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, suppressing daytime solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–30°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C (45.5%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting reduced insolation and evaporative cooling amid high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors moderation compared to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official guidance through the weekend will refine intensity and timing of precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities if rainfall trends lighter or steering patterns change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
29°C 46%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
$15,594 KL.
$15,594 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 46%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
$15,594 KL.
$15,594 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, suppressing daytime solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–30°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C (45.5%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting reduced insolation and evaporative cooling amid high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors moderation compared to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official guidance through the weekend will refine intensity and timing of precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities if rainfall trends lighter or steering patterns change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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