Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
18°C 26%
19°C 19%
17°C 12%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
18°C 26%
19°C 19%
17°C 12%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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