Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 11 project a daytime high near 30°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 90% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This keeps maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band favored by traders, as monsoon-driven moisture and convective activity reduce insolation compared with clearer conditions that could push readings toward 32°C or higher. Recent regional patterns show similar suppression during peak rainy-season days, while short breaks in cloudiness or lighter winds might allow marginal warming; uncertainty in exact timing of showers creates the close market spread around the 30°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 11?
30°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
34%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
34%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 11 project a daytime high near 30°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 90% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This keeps maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band favored by traders, as monsoon-driven moisture and convective activity reduce insolation compared with clearer conditions that could push readings toward 32°C or higher. Recent regional patterns show similar suppression during peak rainy-season days, while short breaks in cloudiness or lighter winds might allow marginal warming; uncertainty in exact timing of showers creates the close market spread around the 30°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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